Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.021298 0.023483 0.025665 0.028003 0.030431 0.032874 0.035514
2025-03-09 0.017152 0.020598 0.024162 0.028095 0.032291 0.036612 0.041378
2025-03-16 0.014146 0.018288 0.022694 0.027670 0.033082 0.038745 0.045078
2025-03-23 0.012176 0.016826 0.021899 0.027739 0.034186 0.041014 0.048726
2025-03-30 0.010347 0.015331 0.020908 0.027444 0.034761 0.042593 0.051517
2025-04-06 0.008761 0.013968 0.019945 0.027074 0.035159 0.043896 0.053927
2025-04-13 0.006945 0.012170 0.018362 0.025898 0.034568 0.044037 0.054996
2025-04-20 0.006214 0.011646 0.018225 0.026340 0.035759 0.046112 0.058153
2025-04-27 0.005260 0.010750 0.017583 0.026142 0.036180 0.047293 0.060288
2025-05-04 0.004300 0.009755 0.016757 0.025678 0.036256 0.048053 0.061921
2025-05-11 0.003716 0.009221 0.016470 0.025830 0.037019 0.049566 0.064375
2025-05-18 0.003119 0.008607 0.016045 0.025784 0.037527 0.050770 0.066464
2025-05-25 0.002461 0.007864 0.015471 0.025607 0.037953 0.051967 0.068651
2025-06-01 0.001950 0.007297 0.015112 0.025695 0.038706 0.053561 0.071317
2025-06-08 0.001376 0.006501 0.014388 0.025287 0.038836 0.054412 0.073119
2025-06-15 0.001016 0.006015 0.014057 0.025353 0.039516 0.055882 0.075608
2025-06-22 0.000647 0.005387 0.013478 0.025069 0.039750 0.056815 0.077466
2025-06-29 0.000350 0.004771 0.012868 0.024715 0.039874 0.057602 0.079141
2025-07-06 0.000073 0.003852 0.011712 0.023586 0.039011 0.057202 0.079428
2025-07-13 0.000023 0.003675 0.011715 0.024010 0.040067 0.059062 0.082315
2025-07-20 NaN 0.003256 0.011284 0.023819 0.040341 0.059983 0.084105
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002769 0.010688 0.023375 0.040277 0.060487 0.085399
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002538 0.010521 0.023520 0.040952 0.061868 0.087706